Question ID: 3594
Regulation Reference: Other
Status: Rejected
Date of submission: 14 Jun 2026
Question
Clarification is needed regarding the calibration of stressed interest rates in the CEIOPS Calibration Paper (2010-04-15). PCA is applied to four different datasets, and a regression model is subsequently used on the derived (standardised) principal components (PCs), or factors, to calculate the "beta" sensitivity of each maturity. As described in the paper, the combined sum of these sensitivities is then used to derive the stress factor at the 99.5% level. I would like to understand which type of regression model was used, how the combined sum was calculated, and which assumptions (e.g. regarding the underlying distributions) were made in order to derive the stress factors at the 99.5% level. Furthermore, I would like to understand how this confidence level should be interpreted. Is it intended to represent the Value-at-Risk for each individual maturity? If so, the underlying distributional assumptions would be crucial for understanding the calibration methodology.
EIOPA answer
This question has been rejected because it does not relate to the consistent and effective application of the legal framework covered by this Q&A process. The CEIOPS paper dates from 2010 and predates both the implementation of Solvency II and the subsequent regulatory developments under EIOPA, so its assumptions and guidance may no longer reflect the current regulatory framework.